Lille vs Dortmond

Lille vs Borussia Dortmund UEFA Champions League Prediction & Betting Tips – March 12, 2025

Match Details

  • Location: Lille, France
  • Stadium: Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Date: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
  • Kick-off: 17:45 GMT / 12:45 ET / 09:45 PT
  • Referee: Sandro Scharer (SUI)
  • VAR: Dennis Johan Higler (NED)

Head-to-Head Record (All-Time)

  • Lille Wins: 0
  • Borussia Dortmund Wins: 0
  • Draws: 3
  • Last Meeting: Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Lille (March 4, 2025) – Champions League

Lille Team News

Lille have coped well despite injuries, but they will once again be without key winger Edon Zhegrova, who has missed a significant portion of the campaign. Additionally, Samuel Umtiti and Tiago Santos are unavailable, while Osame Sahraoui remains a doubt. Mitchel Bakker, a fresh absentee, suffered an Achilles injury at the weekend.

Midfielder Nabil Bentaleb wasn’t registered for the knockout stages and will not feature, but Gabriel Gudmundsson is expected to recover from illness in time for the match against Dortmund.

Lille Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1):

Chevalier; Meunier, Diakite, Ribeiro, Gudmundsson; Andre, Bouaddi; Mukau, Gomes, Haraldsson; David.

Borussia Dortmund Team News

Dortmund will be without Daniel Svensson, who suffered a knee injury in the first leg, as well as Felix Nmecha, who is also sidelined with knee issues. Chelsea loanee Carney Chukwuemeka is a doubt due to a thigh problem.

Dortmund Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1):

Kobel; Ryerson, Can, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini; Sabitzer, Gross; Adeyemi, Reyna, Gittens; Guirassy.

Lille vs Borussia Dortmund Score Prediction

Lille boast a strong home record in this competition and will aim to capitalize on their advantage against a struggling Dortmund side. Former Lille striker Serhou Guirassy, now with Dortmund, has been in excellent form with ten goals in just 11 appearances in the competition this season.

However, Dortmund’s inconsistency has been their biggest weakness. While they have quality in attack, their defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern.

Prediction: Lille 2-0 Borussia Dortmund

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

  • Lille Win: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
  • Draw: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • Dortmund Win: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%

Lille secured a 1-1 draw away in Dortmund in the first leg, and with their impressive home form, they are slight favorites heading into the second leg. Dortmund, on the other hand, suffered a 1-0 defeat to Augsburg at the weekend, which could impact their confidence.

Key Stats & Betting Insights

  • Last week’s 1-1 draw saw just two shots on target combined from both sides.
  • Five of Borussia Dortmund’s last six matches have produced under 2.5 goals.
  • Lille are unbeaten at home in the Champions League this season, winning three of their four group-stage games.
  • Jonathan David has netted six goals in the Champions League this season.

Correct Score Prediction: Lille 1-0 Borussia Dortmund

Lille are unbeaten at home in the Champions League this season and will look to complete the job in a low-scoring contest.

Most Recent H2Hs: A Series of Draws

Dortmund’s 1-1 draw with Lille last week was their third consecutive draw against the French side. The last time they met before this campaign was in the Europa League in 2002, where they also played to a draw.

Player to Watch – Thomas Meunier

Former Borussia Dortmund defender Thomas Meunier will face his old club and could play a crucial role with his experience. The 33-year-old Belgian international has been a key player for Lille this season and will look to influence proceedings with his defensive solidity and attacking runs.

Uncle says

Lille will look to build on their strong home form, while Dortmund must overcome their inconsistency to progress. With a history of low-scoring encounters between the two teams, another tight contest is expected. However, Lille’s defensive discipline and attacking efficiency at home may just give them the edge. Lille to Win

Uncle Whitebeard
Uncle Whitebeard
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